Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 23 meetings). Cullen wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.6% vs Gagner 46.0% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 30-27 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Gagner 55.9%
Defensive zone
Cullen 86.5%
Neutral zone
Cullen 73.6%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Cullen
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
27
(57 meetings)
30
27
Cullen
Gagner
Last 10: Cullen 6-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
6
17
Cullen
Gagner
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
15
5
Cullen
Gagner
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
9
5
Cullen
Gagner
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (5,371)
45.4% (4,699)
+9.4%
Power Play
52.3% (421)
51.5% (928)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (953)
35.0% (226)
+13.0%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Cullen is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,344).
Cullen shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Cullen
Gagner
Home
55.8% (3,288)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
51.6% (3,488)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Cullen
Gagner
P1
54.7%
44.6%
P2
52.8%
46.1%
P3
53.3%
47.3%
OT
62.7%
42.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2018 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 14, 2018 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 21, 2016 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 18:02 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 2 | 05:35 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 9, 2015 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 2 | 10:23 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 1 | 19:56 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |