Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 51.1% vs Gagner 48.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 87.4%
Defensive zone
Cullen 80.0%
Neutral zone
Gagner 53.7%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Cullen
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cullen
Gagner
Last 5: Cullen 2-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
3
Cullen
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
0
Cullen
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (648)
46.5% (310)
+7.5%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
50.4% (115)
+7.9%
On power play, Cullen has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Cullen is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Cullen shoots left. Gagner is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Cullen
Gagner
Home
52.9% (416)
52.4% (212)
Away
49.7% (443)
42.7% (213)
By Period
Cullen
Gagner
P1
53.5%
46.2%
P2
51.3%
52.2%
P3
49.2%
43.6%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
51.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2017 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 17, 2017 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 22, 2016 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |