Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.6% vs Pahlsson 52.2% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Pahlsson leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Cullen 68.6%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 72.6%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 51.2%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 58.2%
41.8%
58.2%
Cullen
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Cullen
Pahlsson
Last 10: Cullen 3-7 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
3
0
Cullen
Pahlsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
1
7
Cullen
Pahlsson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
3
2
Cullen
Pahlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (5,371)
53.0% (1,716)
+1.8%
Power Play
52.3% (421)
60.0% (35)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (953)
49.8% (548)
-1.8%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Cullen shoots left. Pahlsson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,644).
Home / Away
Cullen
Pahlsson
Home
55.8% (3,288)
54.4% (1,136)
Away
51.6% (3,488)
50.3% (1,188)
By Period
Cullen
Pahlsson
P1
54.7%
54.6%
P2
52.8%
50.7%
P3
53.3%
51.8%
OT
62.7%
44.8%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2012 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 1 | 11:06 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 11:43 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 3 | 06:16 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 10:12 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |