Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cullen wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 55.5% vs Pahlsson 51.9% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 81.6%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 60.3%
Neutral zone
Cullen 74.9%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Cullen
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Cullen
Pahlsson
Last 6: Cullen 4-2 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
0
Cullen
Pahlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
1
2
Cullen
Pahlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
0
Cullen
Pahlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (652)
51.8% (934)
+3.3%
Power Play
54.7% (75)
57.9% (19)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
65.7% (99)
52.4% (332)
+13.3%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Cullen is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Cullen shoots left. Pahlsson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Home / Away
Cullen
Pahlsson
Home
55.3% (421)
56.5% (628)
Away
56.9% (422)
47.8% (670)
By Period
Cullen
Pahlsson
P1
54.4%
55.9%
P2
57.3%
49.4%
P3
56.6%
50.8%
OT
57.1%
37.5%
Final 5 min
58.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
56.1%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2011 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 10:58 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |