Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 50.0% vs Monahan 51.0% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 91.9%
Defensive zone
Cullen 85.1%
Neutral zone
Cullen 51.5%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Cullen
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Cullen
Monahan
Last 7: Cullen 6-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
0
Cullen
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
0
Cullen
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
3
1
Cullen
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (482)
50.8% (723)
-1.0%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
53.3% (152)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (153)
46.2% (13)
+4.1%
On power play, Cullen has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cullen is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (422).
Cullen shoots left. Monahan is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Cullen
Monahan
Home
53.4% (311)
52.5% (421)
Away
46.8% (329)
49.9% (467)
By Period
Cullen
Monahan
P1
51.1%
51.4%
P2
47.9%
52.3%
P3
51.8%
50.2%
OT
25.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
46.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 05:42 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:49 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 10:44 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |