Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Cullen wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.8% vs Horcoff 49.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 65.2%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 50.2%
Neutral zone
Cullen 67.5%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Cullen
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Cullen
Horcoff
Last 5: Cullen 3-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
0
Cullen
Horcoff
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Cullen
Horcoff
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (368)
46.9% (318)
+9.4%
Power Play
43.8% (48)
64.9% (94)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (32)
39.8% (88)
+13.3%
On power play, Horcoff has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Cullen is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Cullen shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Cullen
Horcoff
Home
55.7% (194)
46.7% (289)
Away
53.9% (254)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Cullen
Horcoff
P1
60.3%
49.4%
P2
53.4%
47.0%
P3
50.0%
50.9%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
54.7%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |