Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.6% vs Ott 55.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Ott leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Cullen 63.1%
Defensive zone
Cullen 64.1%
Neutral zone
Cullen 64.8%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Cullen
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
Cullen
Ott
Last 10: Cullen 4-6 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Cullen
Ott
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
2
8
Cullen
Ott
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
3
4
Cullen
Ott
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (5,371)
57.2% (2,802)
-2.4%
Power Play
52.3% (421)
55.4% (567)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (953)
49.9% (853)
-1.9%
On power play, Ott has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Cullen shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Cullen
Ott
Home
55.8% (3,288)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
51.6% (3,488)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Cullen
Ott
P1
54.7%
56.7%
P2
52.8%
53.9%
P3
53.3%
55.7%
OT
62.7%
60.8%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 16:26 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 03:46 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 13, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 4, 2012 | OT | 04:58 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 10:29 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 15:50 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Apr 10, 2011 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |