Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Cullen wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 50.0% vs Stamkos 52.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 73.0%
Defensive zone
Cullen 81.0%
Neutral zone
Cullen 61.0%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Cullen
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Cullen
Stamkos
Last 9: Cullen 3-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
6
Cullen
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
3
0
Cullen
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (482)
52.9% (735)
-3.1%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
53.4% (73)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (153)
53.8% (145)
-3.5%
On power play, Cullen has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Cullen is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Cullen shoots left. Stamkos is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (686).
Home / Away
Cullen
Stamkos
Home
53.4% (311)
54.1% (481)
Away
46.8% (329)
52.1% (472)
By Period
Cullen
Stamkos
P1
51.1%
50.2%
P2
47.9%
53.4%
P3
51.8%
55.8%
OT
25.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
46.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 04:24 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 15:09 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 13:07 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |