Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +20.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cullen wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Schaller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 55.2% vs Schaller 42.3% (+20.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cullen 56.4%
Defensive zone
Cullen 91.3%
Neutral zone
Cullen 86.6%
Result
Matt Cullen favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Cullen
Schaller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Cullen
Schaller
Last 8: Cullen 5-3 Schaller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
1
Cullen
Schaller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
1
Cullen
Schaller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Schaller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Schaller
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (783)
36.0% (100)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (233)
30.8% (13)
+13.0%
On even strength, Cullen has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schaller shoots left. Cullen is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Cullen shoots left. Schaller is 32.5% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Cullen
Schaller
Home
59.0% (481)
33.3% (57)
Away
52.9% (563)
37.5% (56)
By Period
Cullen
Schaller
P1
55.7%
27.7%
P2
53.1%
42.5%
P3
58.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
53.6%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Schaller
42.0%▼
45.0%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 02:14 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Tim Schaller |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 02:17 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 05:39 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Tim Schaller |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 02:28 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |