Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cullen 53.6% vs Gourde 48.3% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 70.7%
Defensive zone
Gourde 67.0%
Neutral zone
Gourde 69.7%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 68.6%
31.4%
68.6%
Cullen
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Cullen
Gourde
Last 8: Cullen 3-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Cullen
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Cullen
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Cullen
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cullen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (5,371)
48.5% (4,763)
+6.3%
Power Play
52.3% (421)
57.5% (367)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (953)
39.9% (534)
+8.1%
On penalty kill, Cullen has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Cullen shoots left. Gourde is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,791).
Home / Away
Cullen
Gourde
Home
55.8% (3,288)
49.4% (2,808)
Away
51.6% (3,488)
47.2% (2,856)
By Period
Cullen
Gourde
P1
54.7%
50.4%
P2
52.8%
47.2%
P3
53.3%
47.2%
OT
62.7%
38.5%
Final 5 min
53.7%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2019 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 30, 2019 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 15, 2018 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 01:51 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |