Scouting Report
Antoine Vermette holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Vermette wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vermette 55.0% vs Duchene 52.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 18-4 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 79.7%
Defensive zone
Duchene 84.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 81.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 82.1%
17.9%
82.1%
Vermette
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
18
(22 meetings)
4
18
Vermette
Duchene
Last 10: Vermette 1-9 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
6
Vermette
Duchene
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
9
Vermette
Duchene
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Vermette
Duchene
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vermette
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,139)
52.6% (1,081)
+2.1%
Power Play
60.2% (251)
49.6% (119)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
52.4% (187)
41.2% (17)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Vermette has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Vermette is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Vermette shoots left. Duchene is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Vermette
Duchene
Home
56.8% (694)
54.9% (625)
Away
54.1% (883)
49.3% (592)
By Period
Vermette
Duchene
P1
52.5%
52.7%
P2
56.8%
54.1%
P3
56.7%
49.5%
OT
55.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.5%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vermette
58.0%▼
62.0%
55.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 3 | 03:20 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 18:12 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 18:01 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 16, 2015 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2014 | OT | 02:15 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 19:12 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 15:39 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 11:51 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 11:44 | Offensive | Antoine Vermette |
| Nov 25, 2014 | 1 | 11:36 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |