Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Anisimov on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Anisimov wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Anisimov 46.1% vs Duchene 52.8% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 91.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 75.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 81.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 86.2%
13.8%
86.2%
Anisimov
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Anisimov
Duchene
Last 7: Anisimov 6-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Anisimov
3
1
Anisimov
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Anisimov
1
0
Anisimov
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Anisimov
2
0
Anisimov
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Anisimov
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (720)
52.6% (1,112)
-6.2%
Power Play
44.2% (95)
56.0% (193)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (95)
49.0% (49)
-6.9%
On power play, Duchene has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Anisimov is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Anisimov shoots left. Duchene is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Anisimov
Duchene
Home
46.3% (460)
55.7% (652)
Away
45.1% (450)
50.4% (702)
By Period
Anisimov
Duchene
P1
46.5%
51.4%
P2
46.4%
53.9%
P3
44.6%
53.3%
OT
36.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
40.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Anisimov
40.0%▼
45.5%
45.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2018 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 2 | 19:21 | Offensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 16:12 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 16:01 | Defensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Artem Anisimov |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 13:39 | Offensive | Artem Anisimov |
| Feb 21, 2018 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Artem Anisimov |