Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Gordon wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.5% vs Duchene 54.2% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 83.7%
Defensive zone
Gordon 60.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 66.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 64.6%
35.4%
64.6%
Gordon
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Gordon
Duchene
Last 10: Gordon 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Gordon
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
0
Gordon
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
10
Gordon
Duchene
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (576)
56.8% (706)
+1.0%
Power Play
73.7% (19)
56.1% (57)
+17.6%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (194)
42.3% (130)
+11.8%
On power play, Gordon has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Gordon is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Gordon shoots right. Duchene is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Gordon
Duchene
Home
60.3% (383)
56.6% (488)
Away
54.4% (406)
52.3% (405)
By Period
Gordon
Duchene
P1
58.4%
52.0%
P2
56.9%
53.7%
P3
58.8%
58.5%
OT
23.5%
46.7%
Final 5 min
58.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 15:11 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 14:30 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 13:31 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 26, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 6, 2013 | 1 | 13:05 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 11, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 17:34 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 02:25 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |