Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.9% vs 57.9%). Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 57.1% vs Duchene 57.0% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 87.1%
Defensive zone
Gordon 71.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Gordon
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Gordon
Duchene
Last 8: Gordon 3-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Gordon
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
2
0
Gordon
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Gordon
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (627)
56.5% (527)
+2.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
61.6% (185)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (279)
59.3% (27)
-4.5%
On power play, Gordon has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Gordon is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Gordon shoots right. Duchene is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Gordon
Duchene
Home
60.5% (451)
57.6% (403)
Away
55.2% (458)
58.3% (336)
By Period
Gordon
Duchene
P1
57.7%
61.4%
P2
55.5%
58.5%
P3
60.5%
54.9%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
62.8%
62.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 19:33 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 07:22 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |