Scouting Report
Brandon Dubinsky holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 54.3% vs Duchene 52.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 84.4%
Defensive zone
Dubinsky 55.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 70.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 73.1%
26.9%
73.1%
Dubinsky
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dubinsky
Duchene
Last 6: Dubinsky 1-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Dubinsky
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Dubinsky
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Dubinsky
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (784)
52.6% (1,112)
+1.9%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
56.0% (193)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
54.4% (147)
49.0% (49)
+5.4%
On power play, Dubinsky has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Dubinsky is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Dubinsky shoots left. Duchene is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Duchene
Home
55.1% (521)
55.7% (652)
Away
54.3% (431)
50.4% (702)
By Period
Dubinsky
Duchene
P1
58.5%
51.4%
P2
49.8%
53.9%
P3
55.8%
53.3%
OT
63.6%
55.6%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
54.7%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 17, 2018 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 17:31 | Neutral | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 3 | 00:35 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 16:56 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 24, 2017 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |