Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 48.4% vs Duchene 52.0% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Flynn 50.0%
Defensive zone
Flynn 59.6%
Neutral zone
Flynn 58.7%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Flynn
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Flynn
Duchene
Last 5: Flynn 2-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Flynn
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Flynn
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (274)
52.6% (1,081)
-5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
49.6% (119)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
41.2% (17)
+7.9%
On penalty kill, Flynn has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Flynn is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Flynn shoots right. Duchene is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Flynn
Duchene
Home
47.4% (211)
54.9% (625)
Away
48.6% (148)
49.3% (592)
By Period
Flynn
Duchene
P1
47.8%
52.7%
P2
51.1%
54.1%
P3
43.4%
49.5%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.3%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
47.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 05:09 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 01:51 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Brian Flynn |