Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.2%). Look for Desharnais on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 52.7% vs Duchene 52.0% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 89.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 63.9%
Neutral zone
Desharnais 66.5%
Result
David Desharnais favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Desharnais
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Desharnais
Duchene
Last 8: Desharnais 6-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
3
0
Desharnais
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Desharnais
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Desharnais
3
1
Desharnais
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (994)
52.6% (1,081)
-1.2%
Power Play
61.5% (187)
49.6% (119)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
41.2% (17)
-3.7%
On power play, Desharnais has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Desharnais is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Desharnais shoots left. Duchene is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (744).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Duchene
Home
53.8% (610)
54.9% (625)
Away
52.0% (579)
49.3% (592)
By Period
Desharnais
Duchene
P1
49.7%
52.7%
P2
57.7%
54.1%
P3
49.9%
49.5%
OT
66.7%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.1%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
52.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 3 | 10:49 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Dec 1, 2014 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Desharnais |