Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Haas wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haas 43.7% vs Duchene 55.3% (-13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haas 67.5%
Defensive zone
Haas 84.2%
Neutral zone
Haas 77.7%
Result
Gaetan Haas favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Haas
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Haas
Duchene
Last 5: Haas 0-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Haas
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Haas
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Haas
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haas
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (376)
56.0% (579)
-14.8%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
59.3% (108)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
25.0% (8)
+32.1%
On penalty kill, Haas has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Haas is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Haas shoots right. Duchene is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Home / Away
Haas
Duchene
Home
44.8% (181)
54.9% (375)
Away
40.1% (227)
57.5% (320)
By Period
Haas
Duchene
P1
36.8%
58.3%
P2
45.1%
56.7%
P3
44.4%
53.1%
Final 5 min
40.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
42.2%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 17:36 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 2 | 15:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 1 | 13:47 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 2 | 16:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |