Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Wright wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wright 47.7% vs Duchene 50.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 55.5%
Defensive zone
Wright 66.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.1%
Result
James Wright favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Wright
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Wright
Duchene
Last 7: Wright 3-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Wright
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wright
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Wright
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wright
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (155)
49.4% (933)
+0.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
58.7% (104)
-58.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (113)
47.6% (21)
-4.2%
On power play, Duchene has a +58.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Wright is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Wright shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Home / Away
Wright
Duchene
Home
48.9% (133)
51.9% (534)
Away
44.9% (136)
48.7% (524)
By Period
Wright
Duchene
P1
49.5%
51.0%
P2
41.4%
48.8%
P3
50.0%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wright
50.0%▲
46.5%
46.8%
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 09:56 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 12, 2013 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | James Wright |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | James Wright |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 1 | 03:49 | Offensive | James Wright |
| Oct 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |