Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.1% vs 57.9%). Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Beagle wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 57.0% vs Duchene 57.0% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 74.9%
Defensive zone
Beagle 82.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 50.3%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Beagle
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Beagle
Duchene
Last 9: Beagle 7-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
5
1
Beagle
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (485)
56.5% (527)
+1.6%
Power Play
84.6% (13)
61.6% (185)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (139)
59.3% (27)
-3.9%
On power play, Beagle has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Beagle is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Beagle shoots right. Duchene is 59.8% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Beagle
Duchene
Home
57.0% (307)
57.6% (403)
Away
59.1% (330)
58.3% (336)
By Period
Beagle
Duchene
P1
59.1%
61.4%
P2
59.8%
58.5%
P3
56.4%
54.9%
OT
20.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.9%
62.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
58.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2016 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 3 | 15:58 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 3 | 14:21 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 2 | 12:57 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Apr 1, 2016 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |