Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Martinook on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Martinook wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Martinook 45.4% vs Duchene 54.9% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 86.8%
Defensive zone
Duchene 68.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 66.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Martinook
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Martinook
Duchene
Last 8: Martinook 5-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Martinook
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Martinook
2
1
Martinook
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Martinook
3
0
Martinook
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Martinook
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (249)
55.4% (1,013)
-8.0%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
56.3% (192)
-18.8%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (84)
41.2% (17)
-6.7%
On power play, Duchene has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Martinook is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Martinook shoots left. Duchene is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Martinook
Duchene
Home
42.5% (160)
56.2% (642)
Away
45.3% (181)
54.3% (580)
By Period
Martinook
Duchene
P1
45.2%
56.2%
P2
46.4%
56.5%
P3
40.4%
52.9%
Final 5 min
42.0%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.5%
44.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2019 | 1 | 01:17 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Martinook |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 12, 2019 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Martinook |
| Jan 18, 2019 | 1 | 19:19 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 18:23 | Neutral | Jordan Martinook |