Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Schroeder wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schroeder 45.1% vs Duchene 54.2% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schroeder 71.5%
Defensive zone
Schroeder 60.2%
Neutral zone
Schroeder 64.4%
Result
Jordan Schroeder favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Schroeder
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Schroeder
Duchene
Last 8: Schroeder 2-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schroeder
2
0
Schroeder
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Schroeder
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
5
Schroeder
Duchene
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schroeder
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (280)
56.8% (706)
-13.6%
Power Play
47.5% (40)
56.1% (57)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
42.3% (130)
-42.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Schroeder is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Schroeder shoots right. Duchene is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Schroeder
Duchene
Home
41.2% (136)
56.6% (488)
Away
45.4% (185)
52.3% (405)
By Period
Schroeder
Duchene
P1
51.1%
52.0%
P2
39.7%
53.7%
P3
40.5%
58.5%
OT
100.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
40.7%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schroeder
58.0%▲
50.0%
43.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 17:20 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 13:42 | Offensive | Jordan Schroeder |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |