Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.2%). Jokinen wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.0% vs Duchene 54.1% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 51.2%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 51.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Jokinen
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jokinen
Duchene
Last 5: Jokinen 2-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Jokinen
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,931)
53.9% (10,396)
-0.1%
Power Play
55.9% (506)
56.9% (1,665)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (279)
49.1% (468)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Jokinen is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,735).
Jokinen shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Duchene
Home
57.8% (1,369)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
50.4% (1,357)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Jokinen
Duchene
P1
53.4%
54.5%
P2
54.4%
54.5%
P3
53.7%
53.4%
OT
66.1%
56.3%
Final 5 min
57.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
54.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 02:58 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 3, 2010 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |