Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brodziak 49.5% vs Duchene 50.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 71.1%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 78.7%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 54.5%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Brodziak
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Brodziak
Duchene
Last 10: Brodziak 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
5
Brodziak
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Brodziak
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
0
Brodziak
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brodziak
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
51.0% (357)
-1.7%
Power Play
53.3% (105)
53.6% (28)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (242)
50.0% (2)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Brodziak shoots right. Duchene is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Brodziak
Duchene
Home
47.8% (711)
51.0% (208)
Away
51.1% (718)
51.4% (183)
By Period
Brodziak
Duchene
P1
46.0%
53.3%
P2
52.6%
53.4%
P3
50.1%
44.6%
OT
40.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
46.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 2 | 14:04 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2012 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |