Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 54.2%). Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 28 meetings). Hanzal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hanzal 53.7% vs Duchene 54.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 33-31 in 64 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 55.2%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 55.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Hanzal
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
33
(64 meetings)
31
33
Hanzal
Duchene
Last 10: Hanzal 5-5 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
10
18
Hanzal
Duchene
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
11
9
Hanzal
Duchene
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hanzal
10
6
Hanzal
Duchene
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hanzal
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (5,547)
53.9% (10,396)
+0.1%
Power Play
56.7% (1,179)
56.9% (1,665)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (644)
49.1% (468)
-3.1%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Hanzal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,731).
Hanzal shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Hanzal
Duchene
Home
55.1% (3,687)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
52.3% (3,704)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Hanzal
Duchene
P1
54.9%
54.5%
P2
53.6%
54.5%
P3
52.4%
53.4%
OT
56.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
53.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 18:21 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 3 | 18:52 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 15:24 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Oct 29, 2016 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 2 | 00:18 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |