Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 25 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Stajan 49.4% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 43-25 in 68 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 95.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 60.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 85.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Duchene
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
43
-
25
(68 meetings)
43
25
Duchene
Stajan
Last 10: Duchene 8-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
18
7
Duchene
Stajan
25 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
12
14
Duchene
Stajan
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
13
4
Duchene
Stajan
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
50.2% (4,944)
+3.7%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
43.2% (176)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
46.1% (864)
+3.0%
On power play, Duchene has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
Duchene
Stajan
Home
55.6% (6,411)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Duchene
Stajan
P1
54.5%
50.3%
P2
54.5%
48.5%
P3
53.4%
49.4%
OT
56.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2017 | 3 | 01:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 27, 2017 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 19:00 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 17:45 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 6, 2014 | 3 | 02:53 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 6, 2013 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 3 | 19:35 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 3 | 01:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |