Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). Duchene wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.2% vs Stajan 46.7% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 21-8 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 96.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 72.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 87.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 84.2%
84.2%
15.8%
Duchene
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
8
(29 meetings)
21
8
Duchene
Stajan
Last 10: Duchene 8-2 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
8
1
Duchene
Stajan
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
7
5
Duchene
Stajan
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
6
2
Duchene
Stajan
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (706)
46.7% (615)
+10.1%
Power Play
56.1% (57)
52.9% (17)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (130)
43.5% (138)
-1.2%
On even strength, Duchene has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Duchene is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Duchene shoots left. Stajan is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Duchene
Stajan
Home
56.6% (488)
45.6% (379)
Away
52.3% (405)
46.8% (391)
By Period
Duchene
Stajan
P1
52.0%
44.2%
P2
53.7%
46.9%
P3
58.5%
47.7%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.6%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 12:34 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 13:25 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 10:33 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 08:33 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 1 | 16:30 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 1 | 12:01 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 10:09 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 09:54 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |