Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +21.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Reinhart 40.2% (+21.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 89.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 74.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 84.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 87.0%
87.0%
13.0%
Duchene
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Duchene
Reinhart
Last 6: Duchene 4-2 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Reinhart
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
31.3% (115)
+22.6%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
50.0% (8)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
33.3% (6)
+15.8%
On even strength, Duchene has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Reinhart is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Duchene
Reinhart
Home
55.6% (6,411)
35.1% (77)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
28.8% (52)
By Period
Duchene
Reinhart
P1
54.5%
32.6%
P2
54.5%
35.9%
P3
53.4%
28.6%
OT
56.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
27.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Reinhart
24.0%▼
32.6%
32.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Max Reinhart |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Max Reinhart |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |