Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Duchene wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.2% vs Reinhart 44.0% (+17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 80.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 82.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 84.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Duchene
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Duchene
Reinhart
Last 6: Duchene 4-2 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Reinhart
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Reinhart
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (706)
38.0% (79)
+18.8%
Power Play
56.1% (57)
33.3% (6)
+22.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (130)
33.3% (6)
+9.0%
On power play, Duchene has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots left. Duchene is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Duchene shoots left. Reinhart is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Duchene
Reinhart
Home
56.6% (488)
37.7% (53)
Away
52.3% (405)
36.8% (38)
By Period
Duchene
Reinhart
P1
52.0%
39.3%
P2
53.7%
42.3%
P3
58.5%
31.4%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.6%
Reinhart
24.0%▼
32.6%
37.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Max Reinhart |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Max Reinhart |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 8, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |