Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Handzus on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Handzus shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Handzus 51.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Handzus leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Handzus 54.2%
Defensive zone
Handzus 74.1%
Neutral zone
Handzus 61.3%
Result
Michal Handzus favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Duchene
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
15
(26 meetings)
11
15
Duchene
Handzus
Last 10: Duchene 4-6 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Duchene
Handzus
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
3
5
Duchene
Handzus
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Handzus
3
5
Duchene
Handzus
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (10,249)
51.5% (2,438)
+2.5%
Power Play
56.9% (1,620)
58.0% (286)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (467)
47.3% (471)
+2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (7,938).
Duchene shoots left. Handzus is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,162).
Home / Away
Duchene
Handzus
Home
55.6% (6,270)
52.2% (1,736)
Away
52.7% (6,090)
50.6% (1,481)
By Period
Duchene
Handzus
P1
54.5%
52.5%
P2
54.5%
53.7%
P3
53.4%
48.4%
OT
55.9%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.2%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2014 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:41 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 03:54 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 12:38 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 26, 2012 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 2 | 11:17 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 1 | 12:16 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 03:43 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 3 | 11:45 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 3 | 07:10 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |