Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.4% vs Modano 48.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 56.5%
Defensive zone
Duchene 57.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 56.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Duchene
Modano
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Duchene
Modano
Last 5: Duchene 3-2 Modano
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Modano
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Modano
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Modano
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Modano
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,070)
47.7% (266)
+2.8%
Power Play
49.3% (136)
100.0% (5)
-50.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
On power play, Modano has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Modano shoots left. Duchene is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Duchene shoots left. Modano is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (203).
Home / Away
Duchene
Modano
Home
49.8% (633)
51.1% (139)
Away
51.1% (613)
45.9% (135)
By Period
Duchene
Modano
P1
51.0%
52.6%
P2
51.5%
42.3%
P3
49.1%
51.9%
OT
36.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
50.4%
Modano
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2010 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Mike Modano |
| Oct 12, 2010 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2010 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2010 | 2 | 08:16 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2010 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | Mike Modano |