Matt Duchene vs Mike Santorelli
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Duchene wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Santorelli 49.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.3%
Defensive zone
Duchene 50.5%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 50.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Duchene
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Duchene
Santorelli
Last 6: Duchene 3-3 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Santorelli
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
2
Duchene
Santorelli
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Santorelli
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
48.4% (1,835)
+5.5%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
56.0% (298)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
48.5% (132)
+0.6%
On even strength, Duchene has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,494).
Duchene shoots left. Santorelli is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,556).
Home / Away
Duchene
Santorelli
Home
55.6% (6,411)
50.4% (1,079)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
48.5% (1,199)
By Period
Duchene
Santorelli
P1
54.5%
51.0%
P2
54.5%
49.7%
P3
53.4%
47.6%
OT
56.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 8, 2013 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 2 | 03:42 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |