Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 50.9%). Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.4% vs Spaling 50.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 79.3%
Defensive zone
Spaling 56.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 60.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Duchene
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Duchene
Spaling
Last 10: Duchene 3-7 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
2
Duchene
Spaling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
3
Duchene
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Duchene
Spaling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,070)
51.6% (353)
-1.1%
Power Play
49.3% (136)
50.0% (8)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
49.3% (136)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Duchene is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Duchene shoots left. Spaling is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Duchene
Spaling
Home
49.8% (633)
49.2% (260)
Away
51.1% (613)
52.7% (237)
By Period
Duchene
Spaling
P1
51.0%
55.2%
P2
51.5%
49.7%
P3
49.1%
47.7%
OT
36.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.4%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 05:14 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 11:55 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 2 | 10:56 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 12, 2011 | 1 | 19:55 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |