Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.3% vs Spaling 51.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 68.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 64.5%
Neutral zone
Duchene 70.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Duchene
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Duchene
Spaling
Last 9: Duchene 2-7 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
3
Duchene
Spaling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Spaling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
4
Duchene
Spaling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (933)
56.3% (119)
-6.9%
Power Play
58.7% (104)
40.0% (5)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
44.2% (43)
+3.4%
On power play, Duchene has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Duchene shoots left. Spaling is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Home / Away
Duchene
Spaling
Home
51.9% (534)
40.0% (45)
Away
48.7% (524)
57.4% (122)
By Period
Duchene
Spaling
P1
51.0%
47.1%
P2
48.8%
52.2%
P3
50.6%
61.4%
OT
57.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.2%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.3%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2013 | 3 | 17:43 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 3 | 06:54 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 1 | 19:04 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 1 | 16:59 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 6, 2013 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |