Matt Duchene vs Patrik Berglund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 30 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Berglund 48.7% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 40-26 in 66 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 90.7%
Defensive zone
Duchene 72.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 86.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 83.4%
83.4%
16.6%
Duchene
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
26
(66 meetings)
40
26
Duchene
Berglund
Last 10: Duchene 5-5 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
8
9
Duchene
Berglund
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
11
8
Duchene
Berglund
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
21
9
Duchene
Berglund
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
49.0% (4,697)
+4.9%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
51.3% (548)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
43.2% (461)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Berglund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,687).
Home / Away
Duchene
Berglund
Home
55.6% (6,411)
50.9% (2,829)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
46.6% (2,904)
By Period
Duchene
Berglund
P1
54.5%
49.3%
P2
54.5%
48.2%
P3
53.4%
49.0%
OT
56.3%
39.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 03:18 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:09 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 21, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 3 | 12:01 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 10:11 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |