Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Berglund 53.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 60.5%
Defensive zone
Berglund 53.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.8%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Duchene
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Duchene
Berglund
Last 6: Duchene 3-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
1
3
Duchene
Berglund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Berglund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Berglund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,112)
55.2% (270)
-2.6%
Power Play
56.0% (193)
65.0% (20)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
45.8% (24)
+3.2%
On power play, Berglund has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Duchene is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Duchene shoots left. Berglund is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
Duchene
Berglund
Home
55.7% (652)
61.2% (139)
Away
50.4% (702)
50.3% (175)
By Period
Duchene
Berglund
P1
51.4%
57.1%
P2
53.9%
60.2%
P3
53.3%
48.0%
OT
55.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
61.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2018 | 2 | 08:18 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |