Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 54.5%). Look for Datsyuk on offensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 21 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Datsyuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Datsyuk 54.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 32-30 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 51.6%
Defensive zone
Duchene 52.3%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Duchene
Datsyuk
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
30
(62 meetings)
32
30
Duchene
Datsyuk
Last 10: Duchene 3-7 Datsyuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Datsyuk
8
13
Duchene
Datsyuk
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
11
9
Duchene
Datsyuk
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
13
8
Duchene
Datsyuk
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Datsyuk
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
53.3% (4,336)
+0.6%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
58.8% (1,120)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
55.8% (505)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Datsyuk has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Datsyuk shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Datsyuk is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,837).
Home / Away
Duchene
Datsyuk
Home
55.6% (6,411)
55.9% (2,962)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
53.0% (3,032)
By Period
Duchene
Datsyuk
P1
54.5%
54.1%
P2
54.5%
54.4%
P3
53.4%
54.8%
OT
56.3%
56.2%
Final 5 min
53.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Datsyuk
46.0%▼
55.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 09:09 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Feb 5, 2015 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2014 | OT | 00:28 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 18:33 | Neutral | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 08:27 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 05:33 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 05:17 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Dec 21, 2014 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 16:49 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 11:24 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2013 | 1 | 02:13 | Neutral | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Apr 5, 2013 | OT | 02:07 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Apr 5, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Datsyuk |