Scouting Report
Pavel Datsyuk holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.4% vs Datsyuk 54.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Datsyuk 62.9%
Defensive zone
Datsyuk 75.5%
Neutral zone
Datsyuk 63.7%
Result
Pavel Datsyuk favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Duchene
Datsyuk
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Duchene
Datsyuk
Last 5: Duchene 4-1 Datsyuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Datsyuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Datsyuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Datsyuk
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,070)
53.5% (533)
-3.0%
Power Play
49.3% (136)
58.9% (163)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
54.7% (75)
-4.7%
On power play, Datsyuk has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Datsyuk shoots left. Duchene is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Duchene shoots left. Datsyuk is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Duchene
Datsyuk
Home
49.8% (633)
55.4% (392)
Away
51.1% (613)
53.9% (393)
By Period
Duchene
Datsyuk
P1
51.0%
50.2%
P2
51.5%
59.9%
P3
49.1%
53.3%
OT
36.8%
64.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.4%
Datsyuk
46.0%▼
55.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 12:58 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2010 | 3 | 08:16 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 12, 2010 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |