Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spooner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Duchene wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Spooner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Spooner 43.6% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Spooner leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Spooner 53.3%
Defensive zone
Duchene 67.0%
Neutral zone
Duchene 52.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Duchene
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Duchene
Spooner
Last 10: Duchene 6-4 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
0
5
Duchene
Spooner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
1
Duchene
Spooner
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Spooner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (10,396)
43.1% (1,540)
+10.8%
Power Play
56.9% (1,665)
46.3% (67)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (468)
42.1% (19)
+7.0%
On even strength, Duchene has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Duchene shoots left. Spooner is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Duchene
Spooner
Home
55.6% (6,411)
43.9% (779)
Away
52.7% (6,142)
42.6% (847)
By Period
Duchene
Spooner
P1
54.5%
45.0%
P2
54.5%
46.2%
P3
53.4%
38.2%
OT
56.3%
35.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 14, 2015 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |