Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spooner on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Spooner 45.5% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 50.4%
Defensive zone
Duchene 77.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 68.1%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Duchene
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Duchene
Spooner
Last 10: Duchene 6-4 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
0
5
Duchene
Spooner
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
0
Duchene
Spooner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Spooner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,112)
43.8% (194)
+8.8%
Power Play
56.0% (193)
37.5% (16)
+18.5%
On power play, Duchene has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Duchene is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Duchene shoots left. Spooner is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Duchene
Spooner
Home
55.7% (652)
42.3% (104)
Away
50.4% (702)
44.3% (106)
By Period
Duchene
Spooner
P1
51.4%
40.6%
P2
53.9%
51.9%
P3
53.3%
36.1%
OT
55.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 10:17 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 16:13 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2017 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 15:45 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Oct 9, 2017 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |