Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.4% vs Horcoff 48.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 53.5%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 51.9%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 50.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Duchene
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
Duchene
Horcoff
Last 10: Duchene 4-6 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
5
Duchene
Horcoff
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
3
4
Duchene
Horcoff
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Duchene
Horcoff
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,070)
51.8% (581)
-1.3%
Power Play
49.3% (136)
43.2% (125)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
38.1% (84)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Duchene is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Duchene shoots left. Horcoff is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (607).
Home / Away
Duchene
Horcoff
Home
49.8% (633)
49.2% (384)
Away
51.1% (613)
47.6% (429)
By Period
Duchene
Horcoff
P1
51.0%
45.8%
P2
51.5%
48.4%
P3
49.1%
51.0%
OT
36.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.4%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2011 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 3 | 14:40 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 2 | 09:47 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 2 | 03:04 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 25, 2010 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |