Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Selanne on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Duchene wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Selanne shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.1% vs Selanne 47.4% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Selanne 96.5%
Defensive zone
Selanne 50.3%
Neutral zone
Selanne 81.8%
Result
Teemu Selanne favored at 86.3%
13.7%
86.3%
Duchene
Selanne
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Duchene
Selanne
Last 6: Duchene 1-5 Selanne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Selanne
0
4
Duchene
Selanne
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Selanne
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Selanne
0
1
Duchene
Selanne
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Selanne
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (10,249)
46.7% (480)
+7.3%
Power Play
56.9% (1,620)
48.5% (305)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (467)
0.0% (2)
+49.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Selanne shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,422).
Duchene shoots left. Selanne is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Duchene
Selanne
Home
55.6% (6,270)
47.8% (414)
Away
52.7% (6,090)
46.3% (378)
By Period
Duchene
Selanne
P1
54.5%
45.6%
P2
54.5%
45.9%
P3
53.4%
50.6%
OT
55.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
53.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
54.2%
Selanne
36.0%▼
46.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 01:42 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Teemu Selanne |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Teemu Selanne |