Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 52.8% vs Schaller 47.4% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 82.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 51.5%
Neutral zone
Duchene 68.0%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Duchene
Schaller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Duchene
Schaller
Last 5: Duchene 3-2 Schaller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
0
Duchene
Schaller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schaller
0
2
Duchene
Schaller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Schaller
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (1,112)
46.3% (95)
+6.3%
Power Play
56.0% (193)
100.0% (1)
-44.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
44.3% (70)
+4.7%
On power play, Schaller has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schaller shoots left. Duchene is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (873).
Duchene shoots left. Schaller is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Duchene
Schaller
Home
55.7% (652)
44.9% (98)
Away
50.4% (702)
47.1% (68)
By Period
Duchene
Schaller
P1
51.4%
55.6%
P2
53.9%
36.8%
P3
53.3%
42.2%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
53.0%
Schaller
42.0%▼
45.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 1 | 04:00 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |