Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.4% vs Mitchell 49.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 67.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 53.5%
Neutral zone
Duchene 56.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Duchene
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Duchene
Mitchell
Last 5: Duchene 3-2 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Mitchell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
0
Duchene
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Duchene
Mitchell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (1,070)
47.8% (182)
+2.7%
Power Play
49.3% (136)
62.5% (8)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
45.5% (11)
+4.5%
On power play, Mitchell has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Duchene is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Duchene shoots left. Mitchell is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Duchene
Mitchell
Home
49.8% (633)
47.5% (120)
Away
51.1% (613)
50.6% (83)
By Period
Duchene
Mitchell
P1
51.0%
55.2%
P2
51.5%
55.2%
P3
49.1%
36.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.4%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 06:57 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |