Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.3% vs Smith 52.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 69.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 56.5%
Neutral zone
Duchene 56.1%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Duchene
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Duchene
Smith
Last 6: Duchene 2-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
3
Duchene
Smith
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Duchene
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (933)
53.0% (1,048)
-3.6%
Power Play
58.7% (104)
57.4% (47)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
50.0% (196)
-2.4%
On even strength, Smith has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Duchene shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Duchene
Smith
Home
51.9% (534)
53.9% (629)
Away
48.7% (524)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Duchene
Smith
P1
51.0%
50.4%
P2
48.8%
51.8%
P3
50.6%
56.4%
OT
57.1%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.2%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
50.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 16, 2014 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 8, 2014 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 8, 2014 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 8, 2014 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Zack Smith |