Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.6% vs 46.4%). McCormick wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ellis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCormick 46.1% vs Ellis 46.8% (-0.8%)
Offensive zone
Ellis 55.0%
Defensive zone
McCormick 62.8%
Neutral zone
Ellis 55.5%
Result
Cody McCormick favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
McCormick
Ellis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCormick
Ellis
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (708)
47.3% (607)
-1.0%
Power Play
43.8% (16)
28.6% (7)
+15.2%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (125)
42.1% (95)
-0.5%
On power play, McCormick has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ellis shoots left. McCormick is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (515).
McCormick shoots right. Ellis is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Home / Away
McCormick
Ellis
Home
47.9% (486)
48.5% (303)
Away
42.6% (364)
44.8% (406)
By Period
McCormick
Ellis
P1
47.8%
50.0%
P2
42.4%
46.2%
P3
46.5%
41.3%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCormick
50.0%▼
54.0%
45.6%
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%