Matt Ellis vs Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ellis on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ellis 46.8% vs Bellemare 51.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bellemare 71.6%
Defensive zone
Bellemare 86.7%
Neutral zone
Bellemare 74.6%
Result
Pierre-Edouard Bellemare favored at 76.1%
23.9%
76.1%
Ellis
Bellemare
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Ellis
Bellemare
Last 6: Ellis 4-2 Bellemare
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bellemare
0
1
Ellis
Bellemare
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ellis
1
0
Ellis
Bellemare
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ellis
3
1
Ellis
Bellemare
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ellis
Bellemare
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (607)
53.4% (5,002)
-6.1%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
58.2% (98)
-29.6%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (95)
45.0% (1,579)
-2.9%
On power play, Bellemare has a +29.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bellemare shoots left. Ellis is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Ellis shoots left. Bellemare is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,120).
Home / Away
Ellis
Bellemare
Home
48.5% (303)
53.4% (3,409)
Away
44.8% (406)
49.5% (3,270)
By Period
Ellis
Bellemare
P1
50.0%
52.2%
P2
46.2%
51.5%
P3
41.3%
51.2%
OT
100.0%
34.7%
Final 5 min
42.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |