Matt Ellis vs Pierre-Edouard Bellemare
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Ellis holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ellis on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ellis wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bellemare shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ellis 49.2% vs Bellemare 47.6% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bellemare 67.5%
Defensive zone
Bellemare 55.6%
Neutral zone
Ellis 64.9%
Result
Matt Ellis favored at 56.1%
56.1%
43.9%
Ellis
Bellemare
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Ellis
Bellemare
Last 6: Ellis 4-2 Bellemare
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bellemare
0
1
Ellis
Bellemare
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ellis
1
0
Ellis
Bellemare
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ellis
3
1
Ellis
Bellemare
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ellis
Bellemare
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (170)
47.9% (616)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (35)
43.6% (133)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Bellemare has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bellemare shoots left. Ellis is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (125).
Ellis shoots left. Bellemare is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Ellis
Bellemare
Home
47.8% (113)
47.4% (397)
Away
50.0% (92)
47.3% (364)
By Period
Ellis
Bellemare
P1
61.3%
46.8%
P2
45.9%
46.0%
P3
35.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
48.8%
Bellemare
58.0%▲
54.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 07:34 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 07:23 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Matt Ellis |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Matt Ellis |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Pierre-Edouard Bellemare |