Scouting Report
Matt Ellis holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ellis 46.8% vs Asplund 44.8% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Asplund 53.5%
Defensive zone
Ellis 52.8%
Neutral zone
Ellis 52.9%
Result
Matt Ellis favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Ellis
Asplund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ellis
Asplund
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (607)
41.3% (208)
+6.0%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
45.5% (11)
-16.9%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (95)
48.8% (43)
-6.7%
On power play, Asplund has a +16.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Asplund shoots left. Ellis is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Ellis shoots left. Asplund is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Ellis
Asplund
Home
48.5% (303)
45.6% (125)
Away
44.8% (406)
40.1% (137)
By Period
Ellis
Asplund
P1
50.0%
47.1%
P2
46.2%
41.9%
P3
41.3%
36.6%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.4%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%
Asplund
48.0%▲
43.0%
42.7%