Scouting Report
Rich Peverley holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Peverley on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Ellis wins 35.7% vs right-shot opponents — Peverley shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ellis 46.8% vs Peverley 57.7% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Rich Peverley favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Ellis
Peverley
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Ellis
Peverley
Last 9: Ellis 0-9 Peverley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
5
Ellis
Peverley
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peverley
0
4
Ellis
Peverley
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ellis
Peverley
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (607)
58.0% (1,715)
-10.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
57.0% (391)
-28.4%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (95)
59.2% (333)
-17.1%
On power play, Peverley has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peverley shoots right. Ellis is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Ellis shoots left. Peverley is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,710).
Home / Away
Ellis
Peverley
Home
48.5% (303)
58.1% (1,266)
Away
44.8% (406)
57.9% (1,182)
By Period
Ellis
Peverley
P1
50.0%
59.6%
P2
46.2%
57.8%
P3
41.3%
57.0%
OT
100.0%
51.3%
Final 5 min
42.4%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ellis
42.0%▼
49.0%
46.4%
Peverley
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 02:28 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 11:10 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 02:04 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 15:22 | Neutral | Rich Peverley |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Rich Peverley |